LEaP Reports from this project:

The New Zealand Tourism General Equilibrium Model (NZTGEM):
technical documentation (2010)
Report on the development of a tourism CGE model with a particular focus on changes in oil prices.

Impacts of Oil Prices on NZ Tourism - An Economic Framework (2010)
Provides an overview of macroeconomic effects, destination choice and business behaviour.

Tourism Energy Survey (2008)
In partnership with the Tourism Industry Association we surveyed tourism businesses and organisations to find out more about their energy management.  

Environmental attitudes and fuel saving behaviour by KEA Campers customers (2008)
In partnership with KEA Campers we investigated tourists' attitudes towards the environment, carbon offseeting and fuel consumed during their trip in NZ.

Analysis of Tourist Consumption, Expenditure and Prices for Key International Visitor Segments (2008)

 

Tourism & Oil (2007 to 2010)

Project Overview

Full title: Identifying high-yielding adaptation measures for tourism to respond to global oil prices

Project leader: Dr. Susanne Becken

List of all the Outputs to date

Tourism is an important sector contributing 19% to New Zealand’s export revenue. At the same time, tourism is extremely dependent on oil for both travel to and within New Zealand. While forecasts for future tourism growth are generally optimistic, they fail to take into account potential changes in global oil price and effects on arrival numbers. It might be timely to consider how tourism might change given incremental or rapid increases in oil price. This research will develop a Tourism Sector Model that allows investors, operators and policy makers to assess how travel behaviour will change under various oil price scenarios, what types of tourists, products and destinations are most at risk, and what adaptation measures could be put in place to manage those risks. The wider implications of increasing oil prices and changes in tourism will be analysed through a Tourism Computable General Equilibrium model.

The programme is led by Lincoln University in partnership with Covec Ltd and Landcare Research. It started on 1 October 2007 and has been completed in October 2010.

More research projects with a focus on tourism can be found in the Tourism theme.


Research Team
The research team consists of Dr. Becken (Lincoln University), Dr. Schiff and Mr. Vuletich from Covec, and Dr. Lennox from Landcare Research. The team covers the necessary disciplines of microeconomics, macroeconomics, resource management and tourism. The Tourism Industry Association and the Ministry of Tourism have been involved in the development of this research proposal and past activities (e.g. workshops) in the area of tourism, energy use and climate change. Both organisations are heavily committed to this project with in-kind support. The research programme maintains an Advisory Board consisting of:

Funding is provided by the Foundation of Research, Science and Technology from 2007 to 2010.

New - Online assessment tool for oil vulnerability

This very simple tool allows businesses to assess their vulnerability to oil shocks. A guide on the methodology is available in the New Zealand Tourism Oil Price Risk Assessment Tool documentation (PDF 438KB)

 

Advisory Group Meetings

The Advisory Group and the Research Team met three times. 

First meeting: 12th of March 2008

Second meeting: 30th of October 2008

Third meeting: 5th of March 2010

 

More resources:

The following documents produced as a result of this project might be of interest for downloading.

 


Page last updated on: 15/05/2012